亞投行：多邊金融格局新力量

Abstract

本報告主要為從多邊金融格局中的新力量—亞投行的個案中來探討亞投行的優缺點以及亞投行的未來趨勢。蒐集很多關於亞投行的資料，當中包括亞投行的成立目的、亞投行的創始成員國、亞投行的優點與缺點、亞投行對各國的影響、亞投行所需面對的挑戰以及亞投行的未來趨勢等，再進一步的用這些資料去做此個案的全面分析，並且一起討論了美國、日本與台灣加入亞投行與否的有利點與不利點和亞投行是否會導致未來國際經濟出現新秩序。

本報告的討論結果是，亞投行的成立都會同時為各國帶來好處與壞處。此外，從分析中也得出另一個結果，即亞投行最令人質疑的重點在於其監理的透明度。對於創始成員國和普通成員國在細節上的差異，這方面的資訊還是非常少。因此我們認為亞投行成功的關鍵因素，在於它可否制定出一個讓全部成員國都接受與滿意的規則，並且擁有優越的監理。亞投行如何可否制定出一個讓全部成員國都接受與滿意的規則，是確定亞投行未來執行成功與否的關鍵因素。因此，我們認為只要亞投行可以有效解決治理規則方面的問題，亞投行未來一定會有很優越的發展。

This paper focuses on the rise of Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), a new and prominent multilateral development financial institution. There are several aspects being discussed in details, including the purpose of establishment, the bank’s prospective founding members, positive and negative views on AIIB, its worldwide influence, future challenges, and prospects. Qualitative results are shown for the complete analysis of all the information collected, particularly focuses on the relationship between AIIB, the United States of America, Japan, and Taiwan. The pros and cons of these three countries joining AIIB would lead to a new question on the change of world financial order.

A neutral conclusion is arrived at the end of this paper whereby the establishment of AIIB means advantages and/or disadvantages to different countries. In addition, the most questionable aspect found through analysis is the transparency of AIIB’s governance. The exquisite difference of regulations between prospective founding members and ordinary members are still little of known, and this could affect the fairness of AIIB. Therefore, the key of success depends on AIIB’s ability to formulate a policy which is appealing to every member and excellent governance.